The annuity-like engine — multi-year OEM supply programs & machined/value-added product lines (alloy wheels, oil/water pumps, EV components), the order book & renewals at risk, and the delivery quality (OTIF / OEE) behind them.
₹96 Cr of the ₹560 Cr program / order-book renewal wall is flagged at-risk against a ₹545 Cr machined & value-added base repeating at 109%. Defend the at-risk slice and move OEM platforms up the value chain (raw casting → machined → assembled module) — program/repeat-order rate plus machined/value-added mix is the number the market values most.
6 of 6 headline metrics improving vs prior · still off target: Machined & Value-Added Mix % 22.0% vs 30.0%, Program / Repeat-Order Rate 109.0% vs 113.0%, Machine Uptime / OEE 84.5% vs 90.0%
Each point of attrition on the ₹545 Cr base is ₹5 Cr of machined & value-added revenue gone — far cheaper to retain than to re-win.
Machined & value-added mix 22% sits 8pts below the 30% target; Machined assemblies & aero-defence (AAN) is the best economics in the book at 40% GM and 113% repeat-order.
Programs only renew if delivery holds: OTIF 95.2% sits 2.8pts under 98% and first-pass yield 96.4% is 2.6pts under 99%.
Each lost program is machined & value-added revenue that won't repeat.
Machined & value-added revenue is Rico Auto's most valuable engine — ₹545 Cr across 410 active OEM programs, repeating at 109%. This view is where it's defended: which product lines carry the margin, which programs are up for renewal and at risk, and whether delivery quality is holding up the promise.
Machined assemblies & aero-defence (AAN) is the highest-margin, highest-repeat line — the one to attach up the value chain.
Next four quarters of program / order-book renewals. At-risk = attrition-flagged or contraction-likely.
Defend first: the ₹96 Cr at-risk slice. Each point of attrition on the ₹545 Cr base is ₹5 Cr of machined & value-added revenue gone — far cheaper to retain than to re-win.
Machined & value-added mix is 22% vs a 30% target; the gap is machining & assembled-module content not yet attached.
Machined assemblies & aero-defence (AAN) is the lever: 40% GM and 113% repeat-order — the best economics in the book. Attaching it to existing OEM casting accounts both raises margin and lifts the machined/value-added mix.
Machined HPDC powertrain assemblies is the moat: 140 sticky programs — repeat-buying even at lower margin; the foot in the door for value-added upsell.
Programs only renew if delivery is good — these are the OTIF / OEE measures behind the order book.